Prep Time:
10 min
Time to run:
1-3 hours

Probability/impact matrix template

Dialogue emerging trends with your colleagues.

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This tool allows participants to prioritize trends and emerging issues that they have gathered during research based on their likelihood and impact on the focal issue over several different time periods.

How to create a Probability/impact matrix template

Looking for resources to support your foresight practice? Browse our Resource Center for free digital readers, trend cards, worksheets, and templates! Printed materials can also be purchased and delivered to your door.

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Probability/impact matrix template frequently asked questions

The Futures School

Template by The Futures School


The Futures School (TFS) is a global development ecosystem whose mission is to democratize foresight. Through learning events, professional certification and custom engagements, TFS empowers individuals, institutions, organizations, and governments to adopt foresight as their 21st century operating system.

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Mural is the only platform that offers both a shared workspace and training on the LUMA System™, a practical way to collaborate that anyone can learn and apply.